Moreton Bay is projected to add about 276,000 people between 2021 and 2046, the third largest increase of any Queensland local government area. Morayfield, Burpengary and Caboolture carry much of that growth, and much of the available land is already under construction.
The size of the growth
The Queensland Government Statistician's Office projects the Moreton Bay local government area to grow by about 276,000 people between 2021 and 2046 on its medium series. In absolute terms that is the third largest increase of any local government area in the state, behind only Brisbane and the Gold Coast.
This is not speculative growth. It is the overflow of a city that has run out of affordable land within thirty kilometres of its centre, moving to a corridor that already has a railway line, a highway, hospitals and schools.
Where it is going
The corridor runs north from North Lakes and Narangba through Burpengary and Morayfield to Caboolture, and then on to the Sunshine Coast. The Bruce Highway and the North Coast rail line run the length of it, which is the reason this corridor and not another.
Morayfield South is one of the designated growth areas, and the planning picture there is instructive: its emerging community capacity is largely under construction and projected to be close to fully taken up by 2046. In plain terms, the supply of genuinely new communities in these suburbs is finite and already being drawn down.
That is the part buyers tend to miss. Population projections sound abstract. The practical consequence is that the number of new three bedroom townhomes that will ever be built in Morayfield or Burpengary is a number that is already mostly spoken for.
Why townhouses, and not houses
The corridor grew on detached houses on four hundred square metre blocks. The arithmetic of that has changed. Land cost and construction cost have both moved, and the household that would have bought a house on a block ten years ago is now choosing between a smaller house further out and a townhome closer in.
A three bedroom, two and a half bathroom townhome with a garage and a private courtyard answers the same brief on a smaller footprint, closer to the station and the shops, with the grounds maintained. For a renter it is the same calculation. That is why the rental market for this format in this corridor is deep.
What to look for in a corridor community
Walkability to something real. A station, a shopping centre, a school. Growth corridors are full of estates that are twelve minutes by car from everything, and those are the ones that struggle on resale.
The scheme's funding and maintenance. In a corridor where a lot of product is being built quickly, the communities that hold their value in ten years are the ones that still look cared for. That is a caretaking and sinking fund question, not a render question.
Who is left holding the community after handover. A developer with a management division has a continuing interest in the place; one without has none.
Where Altoro sits in it
Altoro designs, builds and then manages its own townhome communities in this corridor: Willowbrook (48 homes), Oaklands (67 homes) and Ashwood (24 homes, coming soon) in Morayfield, and Parkview Terraces (48 homes) in Burpengary.
The reason the three are built to the same standard is the reason Altoro Living exists. The team that builds the community is the team that looks after it afterwards, which puts the cost of a shortcut back on the people who would otherwise take it.
Common questions
How fast is Moreton Bay growing?
The Queensland Government Statistician's Office projects the Moreton Bay local government area will add about 276,000 people between 2021 and 2046 on its medium series, the third largest absolute increase of any Queensland local government area.
Where is the northern growth corridor in Brisbane?
It runs north from North Lakes and Narangba through Burpengary and Morayfield to Caboolture, following the Bruce Highway and the North Coast rail line, and continues toward the Sunshine Coast.
Is Morayfield running out of land for new estates?
Queensland Government planning work shows Morayfield South's emerging community capacity is largely already under construction and projected to be close to fully taken up by 2046. The land is not gone, but the supply of new communities in the suburb is finite.
Why are townhouses being built instead of houses in the northern corridor?
Land and construction costs have made a detached house on a full block unaffordable for many of the households moving into the corridor. A three bedroom townhome delivers the same household brief on a smaller footprint, closer to the station and the shops, with the grounds maintained.
Sources: Queensland Government Statistician's Office, population projections, 2025 edition (medium series); Queensland Government land supply and development monitoring, Moreton Bay. Last updated 13 October 2026. General information only, not legal or financial advice.
